In this conference volume, distinguished economists and trade policymakers address the US initiatives to enter into free trade negotiations with a broad range of countries in the Asia-Pacific region, the Western Hemisphere, and Africa. The sheer number of these initiatives is unprecedented and has provoked major policy questions concerning US interests in the negotiations, the setting of priorities among the many contenders for concluding free trade agreements (FTAs) with the United States, the objectives of those trading partners, and the implications that these agreements could have for broader initiatives such as the Doha Round in the World Trade Organization and the Free Trade Area of the Americas. The papers in the volume were presented during a conference on FTAs and US trade policy, sponsored by the Institute in May 2003. The editor, Jeffrey Schott, summarizes the policy implications drawn from the conference papers and discussions, which are organized around several topics: the conceptual case for FTAs and how they have worked in the past; what FTAs imply for the broader global system; the specific agreements that are already being pursued (Australia, Central America, Morocco, southern Africa) or considered (ASEAN, Brazil, Egypt, Korea, and Taiwan). The volume includes a technical appendix with results of GTAP and gravity model simulations of the trade and welfare effects of the prospective agreements.
This book is a must read for trade policy analysts and negotiators in Asia, since it provides important insights into US foreign trade policy and poses some serious questions on the probable future approach to FTAs with its trading partners.
ASEAN Economic Bulletin
1. Free Trade Agreements: Boon or Bane of the World Trading System?
Jeffrey J. Schott
II Lessons from US Experience with FTAs
2. Lessons from NAFTA
Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Ben Goodrich
4. Lessons from the Chile and Singapore Free Trade Agreements
III New Initiatives in the Asia Pacific
5. Australia-US Free Trade: Benefits and Costs of an Agreement
Andrew L. Stoler
6. US Free Trade Agreements with ASEAN
Dean A. DeRosa
7. Korea-US Free Trade Revisited
Inbom Choi and Jeffrey J. Schott
8. US-Taiwan Free Trade Agreement Prospects
Nicholas R. Lardy and Daniel H. Rosen
IV New Initiatives in Latin America
9. The US-Central America Free Trade Agreement: Opportunities and Challenges
Jose M. Salazar-Xirinachs and Jaime Granados
10. Brazil: FTA or FTAA or WTO?
V New Initiatives in Africa and the Middle East
11. Egypt, Morocco, and the United States
Ahmed Galal and Robert Z. Lawrence
12. Competitive Liberalization and a US-SACU FTA
J. Clark Leith and John Whalley
VI Policy Conclusions and Recommendations
13. Assessing US FTA Policy
Jeffrey J. Schott
Technical Appendix: Quantitative Estimates of the Economic Impacts of US Bilateral Free Trade Agreements
Dean A. DeRosa and John P. Gilbert
About the Contributors